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July 1, 2002

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Report: Cigarette Taxes Will Fail To Solve Budget Crisis; Tax Increase Will Destroy More Than 3,000 Pennsylvania Jobs

HARRISBURG, PA - As part of a package of tax increases that would likely be the single largest net tax increase enacted under a solidly Republican-controlled state government in Pennsylvania history, a new report from The Commonwealth Foundation says the increase in cigarette taxes will fail to solve the state's long-term fiscal crisis and will destroy more than 3,000 Pennsylvania jobs.

"Increasing cigarette taxes by the proposed $0.69 per pack could result in the loss of approximately 3,060 jobs in Pennsylvania," says report author John Dunham, president of the economic consulting firm of John Dunham and Associates.  "The proposed tax increase will likely eliminate entry level jobs and put out of work the very same people the state just
helped leave the welfare rolls."

The report also notes that cigarette taxes are a "declining revenue source," which means that Pennsylvania policymakers will be increasing taxes again next year in order to match current government spending levels. "Revenues from cigarette taxes historically decline after the first year.  That means the state will be dealing with a similar, if not worse, budget deficit next year," said Dunham. 

The Commonwealth Foundation says the state's current fiscal problem is on the expenditure side of the equation, not the revenue side. Pennsylvania government spending at all levels exceeds $70 billion per year, or more than $5,700 for every man, woman and child in the Commonwealth.   The Foundation has been distributing "No New Taxes! Cut Spending First!" stickers and placards to get their message out to policymakers.

Commonwealth Foundation President Matthew Brouillette said, "Taxing smokers is a smokescreen for 'taxers' who are unwilling to reduce government spending that has outpaced the inflation rate by nearly two and one-half times over the past seven budgets.  We must break the taxing and spending habits of the General Assembly and governor before they bankrupt the taxpayers of this state."

The report also suggests that the use of tax policy to reduce underage smoking is misguided.  "Teenage smoking is a legal and social problem, not a tax problem," says Brouillette.  Research shows that increasing taxes has far less of an impact on reducing underage smoking than does education, family influence, and peer pressure.  "Trying to curb teenage tobacco use through tax policy is just poor public policy.  Increased
taxes on tobacco will destroy jobs, hurt the poor, and fail to address the root problem of Pennsylvania's fiscal crisis, while producing only dubious success in reducing youth smoking incidence," he concluded.

EDITOR'S NOTE: The report, "Taxing Smokers: Will Cigarette Taxes Solve Pennsylvania's Budget Crisis and Reduce Teen Smoking?," is available at www.CommonwealthFoundation.org/taxes/pb02-06.pdf.

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The Commonwealth Foundation is a non-partisan, non-profit, public policy research and educational institute based in Harrisburg, Pa.  For more information, please visit www.CommonwealthFoundation.org or call
717.671.1901.


CONTACT: Matthew J. Brouillette, 717.671.1901

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