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MUTH'S TRUTHS

by Chuck Muth

September 5, 2001

"Welcome to the Dole Dilemma"

The hardest lesson learned by GOP ground troops following the 1994 GOP takeover of the House of Representatives was that there is a BIG difference between a Republican majorityand a conservative majority.

That stark reality was, and continues to be, a source of great frustration and disappointment among the base supporters of the GOP - social conservatives, economic free marketers and limited-government libertarians.

A significant, though not large, number of Republicans still come from the liberal wing of the party, often casting their votes with Democrats to defeat conservative legislation. This is the sort of thing that happens when “big tent” practical politics bangs heads with principled philosophy.

The practical reality is: Majorities get to lead. This is a critical point in Congress, since the majority controls the committees which control the legislative agenda which controls the direction the country moves in. And you obtain governing majorities by addition, not subtraction.

The Democrats added Sen. Jim Jeffords; the Republicans subtracted him - and Bingo! - Tom Daschle is now the ringmaster for the Senate circus.

This is, of course, the strong argument for keeping the likes of Sens. Jim Jeffords and Lincoln Chafee in the GOP despite their odd Republican convictions (if you can call them that). As long as they are/were casting their votes for GOP leadership, if not legislation, at least the GOP was able to control, to some extent, the agenda. An important consideration.

Of course, there’s a countering argument.

With liberal Republicans in the tent, it’s harder and harder to differentiate between the two major parties. Such blurring of the philosophical lines by “moderates” in both parties give rise to the age-old claim that “there ain’t a dime’s worth of difference between the Democrats and the Republicans.”

Is it any wonder, then, that so many voters today, not being able to clearly see any distinct differences between the two parties, have simply opted not to register with either?

That’s a pretty compelling argument for holding elected officials’ philosophical feet to the fire and occasionally “thinning the herd.”

Which brings us to Elizabeth Dole.

Mrs. Dole, wife of former U.S. Sen. Bob Dole, is currently the unannounced (at the time of this writing) front-runner for the Senate seat being vacated by Sen. Jesse Helms of North Carolina. All the polls show her miles ahead of any potential challenger … and thanks to a certain “carpet-bagging” former First Lady, Mrs. Dole’s failure to actually live in the state she wants to represent for the past 30-some years is no obstacle to her election.

The dilemma here for the GOP is that while Mrs. Dole is a Republican, she’s certainly not, unlike stalwart Helms, what the base of the party would consider a conservative.

For example, one of her weakest points is her squishiness on gun issues, often siding with the victim-disarmament crowd led by Sens. Chuck Schumer and Hillary Clinton.

During her quixotic 1999 pursuit of the GOP presidential nomination, Mrs. Dole openly lashed out at 2nd Amendment supporters and routinely stuck her finger in the eyes of the National Rifle Association (NRA), an important and dependable group in the GOP’s base.

She was in favor of mandatory trigger locks, but failed to explain what value a locked handgun is in warding off a would-be attacker or rapist.

Whatever.

She also opposed a repeal of the ban on “assault weapons,” saying, “I don’t think you need an AK-47 to defend your family.” But what if those attacking your family happen to have an AK-47 or other similar weapon themselves?

Details, details.

And in attacking the NRA, Mrs. Dole said, “I don’t think that any special interest group should dictate what our position is going to be on particular issues.” You know, the way the unions do in the Democrat Party.

Seriously though, what guides the GOP base on this issue isn’t the NRA, as Mrs. Dole contends; it’s a little document called the Constitution. Our would-be senator might want to take a peek at it sometime before swearing on a Bible to uphold and defend it.

In any event, the bottom line is this: Control of the U.S. Senate hangs on ONE vote. That vote is the difference between Tom Daschle or a Republican (there’s no guarantee that Trent Lott would be returned as top pooh-bah should the GOP regain the majority) running the show and setting the agenda.

Should Elizabeth Dole jump into the race to succeed Helms, she’ll have that all-important name recognition, media fawning, institutional and establishment support, and campaign cash coming out the wazoo.

Could she still be defeated in a GOP primary by a more philosophically-conservative candidate? Sure. But I wouldn’t bet the proverbial farm on it.

In this case, it looks like principled pragmatists in the GOP are going to have to bite the bullet and look elsewhere to find a solid conservative voice to replace Sen. Helms (not to mention also-retiring Sens. Thurmond and Gramm). That one GOP vote will be seen by most people as more important than ideological purity.

So as the prayer goes, it looks like the GOP’s base is going to need the strength to accept that which they cannot change; re-focus their efforts on that which they can - and maybe a little wisdom to know the difference. All of which probably means we'll be hearing from a moderate Republican senator named Dole in Washington again in the very near future.

# # #

Mr. Muth is National Chairman of the Republican Liberty Caucus (www.republicanlibertycaucus.com)

Chuck Muth

3659 Scotwood Street

Las Vegas, NV 89121

Phone: (702) 454-0350

Fax: (702) 454-7798

e-mail: chuckmuth@earthlink.com