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The State of Kentucky Has At Least $9.55 Billion In Potential Surpluses of the Taxpayers Money.

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By CAFRman, Lieutenant Colonel, USAF, Retired Flags courtesy of Robesus Inc.

Introduction

The Commonwealth of Kentucky at the Commonwealth-level has approximately $9.55 billion of Kentuckian's tax dollars it is not using, i. e. potential surpluses equal to $2,362 for every man, women and child in Kentucky or $9,448 for a family of 4. This does not include all the additional potential surpluses that exist in the school districts, cities, or counties in Kentucky. If these potential surpluses at the Commonwealth-level were returned to the people, the total economic benefits increase to $5,051 per capita and $20,205 for a family of 4. Could you use an additional $5,051 per capita in benefits during this year? The abbreviated Kentucky review is shown in Exhibit A in this article.

The $9.55 billion for FY 2000 is an increase from the $9.44 billion in the FY 1999 report.


It's Not in the Budget

You say "This is not possible because we have been watching the politicians and the budget like hawks. Nothing gets by us." You are looking in the wrong place. We want to introduce you to another document that you probably have not heard of, the Comprehensive Annual Financial Report (CAFR, pronounced "cay-fer"). The budget is only a planning document. The CAFR shows what actual happened.


Non-profit and Pay-as-you-go System

Do not think that government actions should be the same as yours or a company's actions. You and companies are the private sector of our economy. Governments are the public sector of our economy. Governments should be nonprofit organizations, and except for retirement/pension funds, should be on a pay-as-you-go system. The budget is a planning document that matches revenues and expenditures for the next fiscal year of its operation based on the two principles above. Because governments normally are not allowed by law to exceed the budgeted amounts, the budget is a very important document for government officials and politicians.


Then what is this CAFR thing?

Think of the CAFR as the government's version of a company's annual financial statement. The CAFR does not include what the government is planing to do (the budget), but describes what it did; what actually was spent and the status of assets and liabilities at the end of the fiscal year.

Each year all States and local governments prepare a report that provides the status on all assets and liabilities and what the revenues and expenditures were for the fiscal year. The report is prepared in more or less in a standardized format using the Government Accounting Standards Board (GASB) accounting and reporting standards. This is where the potential surpluses are disclosed. They are not in a category called "surpluses". The potential surpluses have to be found and identified.


Not a secret set of books

There are some who state the CAFR is like a second, secret set of books that governments have been keeping and hiding from the public. This is not true because for many years the CAFR has been published and available to the public, in most cases free of charge. So why hasn't the public known about the CAFR. We don't know, but we speculate that the budget has been the main focus of everyone including the news media for so long, that what actually took place, the CAFR, has taken a back seat. We believe the CAFR is easier to read and understand than budgets.


What are these surpluses you have been talking about?

Government surpluses, as used in this report and on our site, are funds that are not required or needed for the operation of all government operations, funds, accounts, agencies, etc., directly or indirectly, for the year(s) covered by the budget which is usually one year. Theoretically, at the end of every fiscal year, governments should have little or no cash/investments on hand. But what we find is that most governments have huge amounts of cash and investments on hand at the end of the fiscal year. And somehow this cash and investments are not being recycled back through the budget process the next year, but are being held year-after-year and the income and amounts keep increasing.


Potential surpluses are just the beginning

As stated above Kentucky's potential surpluses at the Commonwealth-level (S1) as of June 30, 2000 had reached $9.55 billion. But the $2,362 per capita is just the tip of the iceberg. It is what happens if that $9.55 billion is returned to each Kentuckian on an equal basis that makes history. Using elementary economic principles found in every Econ 101 text book, after one year the refunds turn into total benefits of $5,051 per capita or $20,205 for a family of 4 and much more. Here is a chart that tells the whole story, but only for the major portion (S1) of Commonwealth-level government, not the potential surpluses at the school districts, cities, or counties in Kentucky. Their potential surpluses would be added to the amounts indicated below. The totals for the entire Commonwealth could be two or three times that shown below.

                 ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS SUMMARY - KENTUCKY S1 REVIEW - 2000

FIRST YEAR BENEFITS PER CAPITA
Economic Principle Explanation Amount
(In Thousands)
Per Capita Family of 4
Actual Refund Total Potential Surpluses $9,546,535 $2,362 $9,448
Economic Output Multiplier (EOM)

For every $1 of refund to the people the economic activity increases by $2. This is the increase in Gross State Product (GSP). Results in increased sales for local businesses.

$22,229,892    
  Increase in GSP - Sales 19.02%    
Economic Earnings Multiplier (EEM)

For every $1 of refund to the people the wages paid to each household wage earner increases by $.50.

$4,773,268 $1,181 $4,724
Employment Ratio (ER) For each $100,000 in increased economic activity, one additional job is created 222,299 jobs created    

Increase in State Revenues exceeding holding and investing the funds results in a Reduction in Taxes

All governments earn revenue based on the economic activity in their respective taxing jurisdiction. For every $1 of economic activity, the State receives revenue of approximately $.10. This increase in revenue should result in reduced taxes.

$1,650,197 $ 408 $1,633
Increase in Federal Revenues The Federal government earns approximately $.20 - $.24 on every $1 in economic activity. $4,445,978 $ 1,100 $4,400
  TOTAL BENEFITS THE FIRST YEAR…   $5,051 $20,205


What do we do with these surpluses?

Well, in his testimony to the Senate Humphrey- Hawkins Committee, Alan Greenspan, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, in late July 1999 gave us a clue on what he thought should be done when he stated:

“I'm of the old fiscal school that you raise revenues for basic government purposes and if you don't have those purposes you give the money back or you don't tax it... My experience is that private rates of return are significant higher than the governments rates of return.”

What did he say?

  • If a government collects too much from the people, the government should give it back.

  • It is better to let the private sector have the money than governments. This we prove in our site beyond a reasonable doubt and is shown above.

We agree that the potential surpluses should be returned to the people NOW before governments spend it.


Governor Ventura did it

Some wrestler called “the body”, now called Governor Jesse “the mind” Ventura of Minnesota, while mayor of a city in Minnesota refunded over $40 million in government surpluses to the people. Within the first six months as Governor he returned $1.3 billion in surpluses to the residents of Minnesota. This refund amounted to $700 to $800 per family. We hear he wanted to return more but the politicians prevented him from doing so.

A December 1999 article in the Wall Street Journal stated:

"Holiday cheer is in good supply in Minnesota these days, where the congressional ban on e-taxes is saving online shoppers a bundle and a HUGE STATE SURPLUS means that even those who do their Christmas shopping in more traditional ways are looking forward to a sales-tax rebate that may average some $250 for every tax filler." (Emphasis added)


Better get it back before your government spends it

An April 2000 article in the Wall Street Journal entitled "State Spending Machines" clearly states what is happening across the country.

"Virginia's GOP Governor Jim Gilmore says that when taxpayers hear their state is running a surplus they should watch their wallet. 'Surpluses only mean the money is coming in so fast that even government hasn't had a chance to spend it.'"

"Virginia's Governor Gilmore believes the only way real insurance against even greater spending increases when times get tougher is to cut taxes...."

"Governors Ridge of Pennsylvania and Ventura of Minnesota are popular in part because they have actually gotten rebate checks into the hands of voters."

"Steve Moore of the Cato Institute says one-shot tax rebates may be a next-best solution. 'Getting money out of the government makes it less likely that programs you can never kill will spring up,' he says".

[Note: Do you think maybe Mr. Moore has gone to CAFRman.com?]

So for those of you who believe surpluses do not exist and the returning of surpluses won't happen, better think again, because it has happened and is happening in those communities where the citizens are taking an active approach to the issue.


Potential vs Actual Surpluses

What we have identified is potential surpluses, not actual surpluses. This is because only an on-site audit will determine the actual surpluses. The public does not have the liberty to conduct an audit. But a citizens committee could establish an initiative to force governments to accept a citizens' on-site audit for the sole purpose of turning potential surpluses into actual surpluses and determine how the surpluses will be handled. As our site recommends, do not let the government have an independent audit of potential surpluses. AICPA auditors are excellent, but they have to walk a tight rope. We know of no living creature that bites the hand that feeds it.


A rose by another name is still a rose

For most of what we have identified as potential surpluses, the government's and politician's response will be "These are required by law to be used only for the purposes designated." or "These are Federal funds and can only be used for a specific purpose." or "These are restricted funds controlled by law." Our response is Federal funds are taxpayers' money; State funds are taxpayers' money; restricted funds are taxpayers' money. We don't care what governments/politicians call it, the potential surpluses are "taxpayers' money" and the people should get it back. No tax cuts or paying off debt. These never work. The only way to get the most economic benefit is for the potential surpluses to be returned in total to the people.


Laws can be changed

I am not the person to talk to about "It's the law." A number of years ago I made some career decisions based on the laws in place at that time. Before my retirement, the laws were changed three times. Since retirement I have lost over $200,000 in retirement because of these three law changes. Every time someone talks about "it's the law," my temperature rises and my vocabulary of politically incorrect words increases exponentially. Laws are changed hundreds of times each day in this country. Just change the law to return the surpluses to the people that earned the money in the first place.


The people better start writing the rules

If the laws cannot be changed to provide for the people to receive refunds of excessive tax dollars, then we no longer have governments "...of the people, by the people, and for the people..", we have communism operating within a capitalist society. Some say we have it now. They may be right.

There are two axioms that should be remembered: (1) He who owns the gold rules, and (2) He who writes the rules wins. It is time the people write the rules, because we surely do not own the gold.


A good summary

If we were to summarize what has been said and shown in this article and to keep it as truthful as possible it would read like this:

"A review of the Commonwealth of Kentucky's FY 2000 Comprehensive Annual Financial Report (CAFR) has disclosed that the Kentucky Commonwealth government has approximately $9.55 billion in potential surpluses of the taxpayers' money that the Commonwealth is not using. This equals $2,362 for every man, women, and child (per capita) in Kentucky or $9,448 for a family of 4. Using elementary economic criteria the total benefits increase to $5,051 per capita or $20,205 for a family of 4 after one year."

Full details, criteria and conditions of this analysis are available at www.CAFRman.com .

When eating an elephant, take one bite at a time. This is not the whole story, but it is a good start to understanding that the Commonwealth of Kentucky has substantial potential surpluses that should be returned to the people. Definitely the Commonwealth should not be considering additional taxes or cutting of services with $9.55 billion in potential surpluses.


Are their others in Kentucky interested in surpluses?

Would you like to know if there are other individuals/groups in Kentucky that are interested in or currently working on the potential surplus issue? We provide a way for you to find out. We have a new section called "Contacting Others". This section allows someone to find others that are also interested in this issue by school district, city, county, and/or State. Consider entering your e-mail address in the area of the government(s) you are interested in. You may be surprised on what others are doing and how you can help. It does not necessarily require time on your part, because moral support is also very encouraging to those that are actively doing something. Remember, it is your money at stake here, a lot of money.

Exhibit A

NOTICE

The provisions, criteria, cautions, etc. as outlined in Main Section of CAFRman.com apply to the details of the Abbreviated Review contained herein. The 2000 CAFR is located at:

http://www.state.ky.us/agencies/finance/manuals/tax/cafr.htm    

  Review of The State of Kentucky (S1)- FY 2000
CAFR Page (In Thousands) Incl. Total Investments Notes
  INVESTMENTS SHOWN ON COMBINED BALANCE SHEET      
25 Cash and Cash Equivalent…   3,586,146  
25 Cash With Fiscal Agents…   95,778  
25 Cash On Deposit w/Fed Govt…   719,038  
25 Restricted Cash…   33,677  
25 Investments Net Amortization…   30,503,248  
25 Restricted Assets…   9,727  
25 Other Assets…   317,983  
25 Amounts available for debt service…   401,429  
  Total Investments…   34,947,614  
         
CAFR Page Investments By Fund Incl. Potential Surpluses Notes
    Government Fund Types:      
80     General Fund x 319,717  
      Special Revenue:      
93         Transportation Fund x 693,724  
93         Federal Fund      
93         Agency Revenue Fund x 295,835  
93         Other Special Revenue Fund x 300,991  
93         Turnpike Authority of Kentucky x 171,808  
    Debt Service: x    
107     Primarily Government x 129,162  
107     Turnpike Authority of Kentucky x 230,631  
110   Capital Projects Fund x 318,880  
    Proprietary Fund Types:      
      Enterprise:      
114         State Parks Fund x 8,523  
114         Kentucky Lottery Corporation x 341,436  
114       Industries for the Blind x 84  
114       State Horse Park Fund x 576  
114       Insurance Administration x 499,999  
      Internal Service:      
122         Fleet Management Fund x 396  
122         Computer Services Fund x 4,282  
123         Prison Industries Fund x 3,398  
123         Central Printing Fund x 501  
123         Property Management Fund x 1,989  
123         Risk Management Fund x 25,606  
    Fiduciary Fund Types:      
      Trust and Agency:      
          Expendable Trust Funds:      
132             Unemployment Compensation Fund x 721,666  
132             Special Benefits Fund x 864,572  
53-55         Pension Trust Funds: (Surpluses based on analysis of         participation)      
54             Kentucky Employees Retirement System:      
54                 Non-Hazardous x 1,320,423  
54                 Hazardous x 63,527  
54             State Police Retirement System x 93,103  
54             Judicial Retirement Plan x 71,803  
54             Legislators' Retirement Plan x 19,555  
54             Kentucky Teachers' Retirement System x None  
          Agency Funds:      
133             Commonwealth Choice x 13,196  
133             County Sinking Fund x 283  
133             Special Deposit Trust Fund x 264,943  
144             General Fixed Assets Account Group      
25   General Long-Term Debt x 401,429  
    Component Units:      
        Governmental Fund Types:      
152           Bluegrass State Skills Corporation      
152           Kentucky School Facilities Construction Commission x 46,646  
        Propriety Fund Types:      
            Enterprise Funds:      
154               Kentucky State Fair Board x 5,632  
154               Kentucky Center for the Arts x 6,556  
154               Kentucky Educational Television Authority x 4,081  
154               Kentucky Economic Development Finance Authority x 80,385  
154               Kentucky Higher Education Assistance Authority x 59,737  
155               Kentucky Higher Education Student Loan Corporation x 232,021  
155               Kentucky Educational Savings Plan Trust   11,266  
155               Kentucky Housing Corporation x 390,926  
155               Kentucky Infrastructure Authority x 151,278  
155               Kentucky Agricultural Finance Corporation x 513  
155               Kentucky Grain Insurance Corporation x 5,562  
155               Kentucky Local Correctional Facilities Construction               Authority x 17,332  
163           University and College Funds x 1,352,562  
  Total Potential Surpluses…   9,546,535  
  Per Capita…   2,362  
  Family of 4…   9,448  
         
  Employees Portion of Retirement Surpluses…   1,568,411  
  Increased Economic Activity...   22,229,892  
  Population (2000 Census)…   4,041,769  


Government Employees Portion of Retirement Surpluses

The State government employees portion of the retirement surpluses are interesting because if these were returned to the employees the average refund would be approximately as shown below. This is an average and each employee should be refunded based on their individual contributions.

Name of Retirement System Total Members Average Surplus Per Employee
   Kentucky Employees Retirement System - Non-Hazardous 85,616 $ 7,118
   Kentucky Employees Retirement System - Hazardous 5,690 $ 5,153
   State Police Retirement System 1,898 $ 15,535
   Judicial Retirement System 486 $ 41,408
   Legislators' Retirement System 291 $ 7,434


The CAFR Schematic

In order to better understand the types of CAFRs in existence we have prepared a schematic that shows our designations for the types, e.g. S1, C2, CY2, etc. These type designations are used in other areas on our site.

The Comprehensive Annual Financial Report (CAFR) Schematic

State/Commonwealth Governments
  State-Level CAFR (S1)
Other CAFRs Associated with State-Level Governments( S2)
 

County/Parish Governments City/Village Governments
County-Level CAFR (C1)
Other CAFRs Associated w/County-Level CAFR (C2)
School System (C3)
City-Level CAFR (CY1)
Other CAFRs Associated w/City-Level CAFR (CY2)
School System (CY3)

The review in this article was type S1 only.

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