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You
say how can that be? Governments raise taxes to increase
revenues. Then lowering taxes should decrease revenues.
Right? WRONG!
Here
is a story of what was discovered in 1815 in England
after England vanquished Napoleon and ended up with a
debt burden equal to 200% of Gross Domestic Product
(GDP). This historical story was presented in Barron's
issue of December 4, 2000 and was written by Stephen W.
Shipman.
After
the French wars with the return of the British troops
and subsequent demilitarization, a surplus emerged. Thus
began the modern era's first great debate over tax
cuts and debt reduction.
After
much debate and wrangling among the British politicians,
along the same lines as we see
today, it was decided to return the surpluses to
the people by reducing the high taxes necessary to
sustain the war effort instead of paying down the debt.
The
British economy boomed and revenues barely receded. They
had enough to make the payments on the debt. So they
decided to try lowering taxes again and again revenues
increased because of the explosive economic boom.
The
result was tax reductions to eliminate the surpluses
rather than paying down the debt provided more benefits
than just paying down the debt with the surpluses,
because the government received more revenue as a result
of the increased economic activity. Mr. Shipman stated:
"Clearly
all evidence suggest and the record demonstrates that
Great Britain's phenomenal economic expansion
following the French Wars derived from a policy mix
that favored top-line production over balance-sheet
austerity. The people of Britain, its laborers and
entrepreneurs alike, responded by creating so much
wealth that the government never again really worried
about its debt burden."
Mr.
Shipman goes on to state that it is "...ludicrous
to oblige American taxpayers to ..." pay
off the debt when the size of the debt compared to the
British debt at the time is so small.
Hence,
the statement that "when governments lower taxes,
government revenues increase" was born and proven
in the real world starting in 1815. And if you want the
economic principles and mathematical proof go to Economic
Impact Analysis .
But
Mr. Shipman hit the nail on the head about the present
debate in Congress and President Bush:
"Instead,
today's debate should focus exclusively upon the
extent and type of tax reductions earned by the
workers and businesses that financed the Cold War.
To
this end, Congress and the next President (Bush) ought
to examine, with an eye toward cutting, all
major tax burdens: not only income taxes, but
capital gains, payroll, death and excise taxes, as
well. [I would also include gasoline and many business
taxes.]
Real
wage gains have eluded a vast majority of Americans
for good reason.
Their
elected officials insist upon benefiting our nation's comfortable
creditors before encouraging and rewarding its over-taxed
producers."
Mr.
Alan Greenspan, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, knows
everything stated above; but he sometimes inserts
politics in place of economics, especially when he now
states that some of the surpluses should be used to pay
down the national debt.
The
income tax reduction package, when enacted, will favor
the wealthiest members of our society as all tax
reduction packages have in the last 40 years. It is the
trickle-down approach. Give a bucket of water to the
wealthiest members of our society (5%) and a few drops
will trickle down to 95% of us.
Remember
(1) He who owns the gold rules
and (2) He who writes the rules
wins.
You
lost again. You neither own the gold nor write the
rules. Someday may be you will get enough intestinal
fortitude to at least write a few rules, because you
surely do not own the gold.
Well,
you can try again in four (4) years. Of course, we have
been saying this every four (4) years for the last 40.
But at least we are consistent. That may mean something.
As
Paul Harvey always says "Now you the know the rest
of the story. Good day!"
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